ECEC 02
The attack surface
Standfirst — one sentence stating the claim. To be written.
Two windows, not one
TABLE · SPEC §3.2
Inline table inside the measure: long-exposure (window unbounded, requires any exposed pubkey,
a slow machine suffices) against short-exposure (window roughly one block interval, requires a
machine fast enough to beat it). Three columns; the distinction matters enormously and almost
no coverage separates them.
Long exposure
PROSE · SPEC §3.2
The tractable near-term threat, and the one the tracker measures. What is in it today and how
it grows.
Source: —— · Dated: ————-——-—— · Review due: ————-——-——
Short exposure
PROSE · SPEC §3.2
Mempool to confirmation. Requires a machine that does not plausibly exist yet — say so, and say
what "plausibly" is doing in that sentence.
Source: —— · Dated: ————-——-—— · Review due: ————-——-——
Timelines
CLAIM · SPEC §3.2, §11
Every timeline claim is sourced and dated. State the uncertainty rather than picking a year.
Two anchors are already fact-checked and want careful attribution: the roughly-10%-before-2030
figure is best cited as Jaques reporting Gidney rather than as Gidney's own claim (his papers
give resource estimates, not probabilities), and Google's move of its internal PQC deadline to
2029 is a secondary-source report.
Source: —— · Dated: ————-——-—— · Review due: ————-——-——
PROSE · SPEC §11
A quarterly review is a standing commitment on this page above all others. A stale quantum site
is actively misleading.
Source: —— · Dated: ————-——-—— · Review due: ————-——-——
What the exposure figure does and does not tell you
PROSE · SPEC §2.1
The bridge back to the tracker: exposure is a measurement of what is visible, not a forecast of
what will be spent. Link the number without importing urgency into it.
Source: —— · Dated: ————-——-—— · Review due: ————-——-——